Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Kelma Tuilagi

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

26.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

65% (11/17)

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Avg

26.6

29.8

L10

28.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Kelmavs all playersStatWST concedePer game

94.2Run Metres1749.4

1.9Tackle Breaks33.3

26.6Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.4Line Breaks6.6

0.7Offloads9.1

37.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Kelma94.2

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Kelma1.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Kelma26.6

WST339.1

Tries

Kelma0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Kelma0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Kelma0.4

WST6.6

Offloads

Kelma0.7

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Kelma37.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackles

339.1per game · league avg 345.6

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium26.3(28)+4.3

Everywhere else22.0(62)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)26.0(2)+2.7

Dry games23.3(88)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.