Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Alex Twal

Wests Tigers · @ BRI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

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Avg

14.6

13.0

L10

14.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

123.9Run Metres1842.7

2.0Tackle Breaks31.7

45.1Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.0Line Breaks4.7

2.0Offloads10.1

40.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Alex123.9

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.0

BRI31.7

Tackles

Alex45.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Alex0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Alex0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Alex0.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Alex2.0

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Alex40.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium12.5(10)+0.8

Everywhere else11.7(103)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.1(8)+0.4

Dry games11.8(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.