Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Alex Twal

Wests Tigers · @ SGI

2.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

2.0

1.6

L10

1.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

123.9Run Metres1917.7

2.0Tackle Breaks30.6

45.1Tackles343.1

0.0Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.0Line Breaks6.0

2.0Offloads8.5

40.8Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Alex123.9

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.0

SGI30.6

Tackles

Alex45.1

SGI343.1

Tries

Alex0.0

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Alex0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Alex0.0

SGI6.0

Offloads

Alex2.0

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Alex40.8

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackle Breaks

30.6per game · league avg 32.6

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At WIN Stadium1.5(4)+0.1

Everywhere else1.4(109)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(8)+0.1

Dry games1.4(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.