Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Alex Twal

Wests Tigers · vs PAR

45.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

45.1

43.2

L10

46.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs PAR

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatPAR concedePer game

123.9Run Metres1827.2

2.0Tackle Breaks39.3

45.1Tackles322.3

0.0Tries5.0

0.1Try Assists4.4

0.0Line Breaks6.4

2.0Offloads11.6

40.8Post Contact Metres598.1

Run Metres

Alex123.9

PAR1827.2

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.0

PAR39.3

Tackles

Alex45.1

PAR322.3

Tries

Alex0.0

PAR5.0

Try Assists

Alex0.1

PAR4.4

Line Breaks

Alex0.0

PAR6.4

Offloads

Alex2.0

PAR11.6

Post Contact Metres

Alex40.8

PAR598.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PAR concede · Tackles

322.3per game · league avg 345.6

#17 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium34.1(14)+0.3

Everywhere else33.9(99)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)31.4(8)-2.7

Dry games34.1(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.