Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Sione Fainu

Wests Tigers · vs PAR

8.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.9

10.0

L10

9.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs PAR

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Sionevs all playersStatPAR concedePer game

80.4Run Metres1827.2

1.0Tackle Breaks39.3

25.6Tackles322.3

0.1Tries5.0

0.0Try Assists4.4

0.1Line Breaks6.4

0.3Offloads11.6

32.7Post Contact Metres598.1

Run Metres

Sione80.4

PAR1827.2

Tackle Breaks

Sione1.0

PAR39.3

Tackles

Sione25.6

PAR322.3

Tries

Sione0.1

PAR5.0

Try Assists

Sione0.0

PAR4.4

Line Breaks

Sione0.1

PAR6.4

Offloads

Sione0.3

PAR11.6

Post Contact Metres

Sione32.7

PAR598.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PAR concede · Runs

194.0per game · league avg 186.4

#4 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium7.7(7)-0.2

Everywhere else7.9(47)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.4(5)+1.7

Dry games7.7(49)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.