P
Current to Round 21, today
NEW
Dane Gagai
Newcastle Knights · @ MEL
14.5 RUNO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.2
L5
16.4
L10
14.5
High
21
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13NQLFeb 2813MANMar 1513WARMar 2114CBYMar 2815CBRApr 0521WSTApr 1215SYDApr 196PENApr 2611SOUMay 0310SGIMay 0916GLDMay 1712PARMay 3014MELJun 0517SGIJun 1917WSTJun 2818DOLJul 0516SOUJul 1214CROJul 17?MELJul 3114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Dane119.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Dane5.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Dane14.8
MEL338.8
Tries
Dane0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Dane0.4
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Dane0.4
MEL6.3
Offloads
Dane1.0
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Dane33.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park16.7(3)+1.0
Everywhere else15.7(126)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)16.1(14)+0.5
Dry games15.6(115)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.