P
Current to Round 21, today
NEW
Jacob Saifiti
Newcastle Knights · @ MEL
10.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.7
L5
8.2
L10
9.2
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12NQLFeb 2812MANMar 1511WARMar 2112CBYMar 2819CBRApr 0513WSTApr 129SYDApr 199PENApr 269SOUMay 0314SGIMay 0910GLDMay 1710PARMay 308MELJun 0510SGIJun 1911WSTJun 282DOLJul 05☂?MELJul 3110.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jacob104.6
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Jacob1.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Jacob27.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Jacob0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Jacob0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Jacob0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Jacob0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Jacob39.5
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park11.5(2)+0.5
Everywhere else11.0(113)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.2(12)+0.2
Dry games11.0(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.