Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NEW

Dylan Lucas

Newcastle Knights · @ BRI

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.0

11.4

L10

11.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

121.4Run Metres1842.7

2.4Tackle Breaks31.7

37.5Tackles323.2

0.6Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

0.3Offloads10.1

46.9Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Dylan121.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Dylan2.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Dylan37.5

BRI323.2

Tries

Dylan0.6

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Dylan0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Dylan0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Dylan0.3

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Dylan46.9

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium12.2(5)+1.4

Everywhere else10.8(62)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.8(8)+2.1

Dry games10.7(59)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.