Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NEW

Dylan Lucas

Newcastle Knights · @ BRI

2.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

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Avg

2.4

2.8

L10

2.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 6.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

121.4Run Metres1842.7

2.4Tackle Breaks31.7

37.5Tackles323.2

0.6Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

0.3Offloads10.1

46.9Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Dylan121.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Dylan2.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Dylan37.5

BRI323.2

Tries

Dylan0.6

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Dylan0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Dylan0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Dylan0.3

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Dylan46.9

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium4.0(5)+1.8

Everywhere else2.2(62)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.9(8)+0.6

Dry games2.2(59)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.