Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NEW

Dylan Lucas

Newcastle Knights · @ SGI

37.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

56% (9/16)

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Avg

37.5

38.2

L10

37.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

121.4Run Metres1917.7

2.4Tackle Breaks30.6

37.5Tackles343.1

0.6Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.6Line Breaks6.0

0.3Offloads8.5

46.9Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Dylan121.4

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Dylan2.4

SGI30.6

Tackles

Dylan37.5

SGI343.1

Tries

Dylan0.6

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Dylan0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Dylan0.6

SGI6.0

Offloads

Dylan0.3

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Dylan46.9

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium33.0(1)+3.6

Everywhere else29.4(66)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)38.8(8)+10.6

Dry games28.2(59)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.