Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NEW

Kai Pearce-Paul

Newcastle Knights · @ BRI

9.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (6/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

9.2

7.4

L10

9.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Kaivs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

72.1Run Metres1842.7

1.5Tackle Breaks31.7

35.3Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

2.3Offloads10.1

28.0Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Kai72.1

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Kai1.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Kai35.3

BRI323.2

Tries

Kai0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Kai0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Kai0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Kai2.3

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Kai28.0

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium12.3(4)+1.1

Everywhere else11.2(52)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.9(9)+0.7

Dry games11.1(47)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.