P
Current to Round 21, today
NEW
Kai Pearce-Paul
Newcastle Knights · @ MEL
28.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
25% (3/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
28.0
L5
17.0
L10
25.6
High
58
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
58NQLMar 1422SOUMar 2152WARMar 2725PARApr 0627NEWApr 1251BRIApr 1816CBRApr 2326MELMay 1017MANMay 1628CBYMay 306PENJun 078GLDJun 14?MELJul 3128.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Kai72.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Kai1.5
MEL33.0
Tackles
Kai35.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Kai0.3
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Kai0.3
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Kai0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Kai2.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Kai28.0
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Post Contact Metres

571.8per game · league avg 545.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At AAMI Park28.0(2)-13.2
Everywhere else41.2(54)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)44.7(9)+4.7
Dry games40.0(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.