P
Current to Round 21, today
NEW
Mat Croker
Newcastle Knights · @ MEL
0.5 LBAO U
Hit rate
26% (5/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.3
L5
0.0
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0NQLFeb 281MANMar 151WARMar 210CBYMar 280CBRApr 050WSTApr 121SYDApr 191PENApr 260SOUMay 030SGIMay 090GLDMay 170PARMay 301MELJun 050SGIJun 190WSTJun 280DOLJul 050SOUJul 120CROJul 170SYDJul 24?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Mat85.6
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Mat0.9
MEL33.0
Tackles
Mat31.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Mat0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Mat0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Mat0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Mat0.5
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Mat28.5
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Line Break Assists

4.9per game · league avg 3.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At AAMI Park0.5(2)+0.4
Everywhere else0.1(103)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(7)-0.1
Dry games0.1(98)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.