Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Jake Clifford

North Queensland Cowboys · @ WST

70.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

42% (8/19)

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Avg

70.2

45.2

L10

57.8

High

156

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatWST concedePer game

70.2Run Metres1749.4

1.9Tackle Breaks33.3

14.9Tackles339.1

0.4Tries5.3

0.7Try Assists4.6

0.4Line Breaks6.6

0.7Offloads9.1

15.8Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jake70.2

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jake1.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Jake14.9

WST339.1

Tries

Jake0.4

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jake0.7

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jake0.4

WST6.6

Offloads

Jake0.7

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jake15.8

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium50.5(2)-9.5

Everywhere else60.0(76)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)51.5(4)-8.7

Dry games60.2(74)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.