Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Thomas Mikaele

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

63% (10/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.6

12.2

L10

13.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Thomasvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

124.9Run Metres1842.7

2.4Tackle Breaks31.7

20.1Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.0Line Breaks4.7

1.2Offloads10.1

52.3Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Thomas124.9

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Thomas2.4

BRI31.7

Tackles

Thomas20.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Thomas0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Thomas0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Thomas0.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Thomas1.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Thomas52.3

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium7.7(10)+0.2

Everywhere else7.5(68)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)-0.5

Dry games7.5(77)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.