P
Current to Round 21, today
PAR
Bailey Simonsson
Parramatta Eels · @ MEL
18.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.6
L5
18.6
L10
18.6
High
25
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17MELMar 0515BRIMar 1225SGIMar 2217PENMar 2819WSTApr 06?MELJul 3118.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Bailey170.2
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Bailey3.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Bailey5.8
MEL338.8
Tries
Bailey0.4
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Bailey0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Bailey0.4
MEL6.3
Offloads
Bailey1.8
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Bailey61.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park12.0(2)-2.0
Everywhere else14.0(78)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.7(3)-0.3
Dry games14.0(77)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.