Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Bailey Simonsson

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

18.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

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Avg

18.6

L10

18.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

170.2Run Metres1749.4

3.6Tackle Breaks33.3

5.8Tackles339.1

0.4Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.4Line Breaks6.6

1.8Offloads9.1

61.4Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Bailey170.2

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Bailey3.6

WST33.3

Tackles

Bailey5.8

WST339.1

Tries

Bailey0.4

WST5.3

Try Assists

Bailey0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Bailey0.4

WST6.6

Offloads

Bailey1.8

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Bailey61.4

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium14.1(27)+0.2

Everywhere else13.9(53)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.7(3)-0.3

Dry games14.0(77)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.