P
Current to Round 21, today
PAR
Bailey Simonsson
Parramatta Eels · @ MEL
0.5 LBAO U
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.2
L5
0.2
L10
0.2
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1MELMar 050BRIMar 120SGIMar 220PENMar 280WSTApr 06?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Bailey170.2
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Bailey3.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Bailey5.8
MEL338.8
Tries
Bailey0.4
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Bailey0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Bailey0.4
MEL6.3
Offloads
Bailey1.8
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Bailey61.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Line Break Assists

4.9per game · league avg 3.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At AAMI Park0.5(2)+0.3
Everywhere else0.2(78)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-0.2
Dry games0.2(77)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.