Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Mitchell Moses

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

55.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

38% (5/13)

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Avg

55.7

55.6

L10

55.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mitchellvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

55.7Run Metres1749.4

0.7Tackle Breaks33.3

17.4Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.6Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

7.2Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Mitchell55.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Mitchell0.7

WST33.3

Tackles

Mitchell17.4

WST339.1

Tries

Mitchell0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Mitchell0.6

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Mitchell0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Mitchell0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Mitchell7.2

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium76.9(46)+3.8

Everywhere else73.1(55)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)51.7(3)-23.9

Dry games75.6(98)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.