Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PAR

Joash Papalii

Parramatta Eels · @ WST

8.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

8.5

3.2

L10

8.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joashvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

69.9Run Metres1749.4

1.4Tackle Breaks33.3

7.1Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

16.4Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Joash69.9

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Joash1.4

WST33.3

Tackles

Joash7.1

WST339.1

Tries

Joash0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Joash0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Joash0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Joash0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Joash16.4

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium6.7(22)-0.3

Everywhere else7.0(17)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-7.0

Dry games7.0(38)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.