P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Adam Elliott
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
20.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
enter odds to compare
Avg
20.5
L5
20.5
L10
20.5
High
32
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0NEWMay 0319CROMay 0931DOLMay 1532NQLMay 24?MELJul 3120.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Adam19.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Adam0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Adam15.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Adam0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Adam0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Adam0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Adam0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Adam7.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park37.3(3)-5.9
Everywhere else43.2(91)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)52.9(7)+10.6
Dry games42.3(87)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.