Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

GLD

Brian Kelly

Gold Coast Titans · vs WAR

18.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

18.2

L10

18.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 vs WAR

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.7°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Brianvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game

166.7Run Metres1552.3

3.4Tackle Breaks34.3

8.3Tackles362.5

0.3Tries3.0

0.3Try Assists2.6

0.3Line Breaks4.7

1.4Offloads10.4

59.8Post Contact Metres495.8

Run Metres

Brian166.7

WAR1552.3

Tackle Breaks

Brian3.4

WAR34.3

Tackles

Brian8.3

WAR362.5

Tries

Brian0.3

WAR3.0

Try Assists

Brian0.3

WAR2.6

Line Breaks

Brian0.3

WAR4.7

Offloads

Brian1.4

WAR10.4

Post Contact Metres

Brian59.8

WAR495.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Runs

176.5per game · league avg 186.4

#17 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Cbus Super Stadium13.2(52)-2.3

Everywhere else15.5(70)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.0(8)-2.7

Dry games14.7(114)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.