Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

GLD

Sam Verrills

Gold Coast Titans · @ BRI

21.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

21.3

11.4

L10

13.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

10.7Run Metres1842.7

0.1Tackle Breaks31.7

21.0Tackles323.2

0.1Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

1.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Sam10.7

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Sam0.1

BRI31.7

Tackles

Sam21.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Sam0.1

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Sam0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Sam0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Sam0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Sam1.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium46.6(10)+9.2

Everywhere else37.4(89)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)33.1(7)-5.5

Dry games38.7(92)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.