P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Manaia Waitere
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.2
L10
1.3
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1NQLMar 282PENApr 030WARApr 113CBRApr 171SOUApr 250DOLMay 010CBYMay 220SYDMay 30☂6NEWJun 050SOUJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Manaia49.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Manaia1.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Manaia8.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Manaia0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Manaia0.2
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Manaia0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Manaia0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Manaia13.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.0(1)-0.3
Everywhere else1.3(12)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-1.5
Dry games1.5(11)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.