P
Current to Round 21, today
Nathan Brown
Nathan Brown
Manly Sea Eagles · @ MEL
11.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.6
L5
13.4
L10
13.7
High
22
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3CBRMar 07☂3NEWMar 158PENMay 0312BRIMay 0914WSTMay 1615GLDMay 238CROMay 2915SOUJun 0418CBYJun 2022MELJun 2714PARJul 0514NQLJul 128GLDJul 199CROJul 26?MELJul 3111.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nathan97.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nathan1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nathan18.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Nathan0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nathan0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nathan0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nathan0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nathan28.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park15.0(1)+3.0
Everywhere else12.0(96)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.4(5)-2.8
Dry games12.2(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.