P
Current to Round 21, today
Nathan Brown
Nathan Brown
Manly Sea Eagles · @ MEL
25.5 FPO U
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
25.8
L5
29.8
L10
29.3
High
39
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8CBRMar 0711NEWMar 1518PENMay 0331BRIMay 0928WSTMay 1639GLDMay 2321CROMay 2932SOUJun 0424CBYJun 2038MELJun 2730PARJul 0523NQLJul 1226GLDJul 1932CROJul 26?MELJul 3125.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nathan97.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nathan1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nathan18.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Nathan0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nathan0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nathan0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nathan0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nathan28.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park51.0(1)+18.5
Everywhere else32.5(96)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)27.0(5)-6.0
Dry games33.0(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.