Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

Nathan Brown

Manly Sea Eagles · @ WST

1.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

21% (3/14)

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Avg

1.0

1.2

L10

1.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nathanvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

97.1Run Metres1749.4

1.0Tackle Breaks33.3

18.5Tackles339.1

0.0Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

28.9Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Nathan97.1

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Nathan1.0

WST33.3

Tackles

Nathan18.5

WST339.1

Tries

Nathan0.0

WST5.3

Try Assists

Nathan0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Nathan0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Nathan0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Nathan28.9

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackle Breaks

33.3per game · league avg 32.6

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At CommBank Stadium0.9(14)+0.2

Everywhere else0.7(83)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(5)-0.4

Dry games0.8(92)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.