P
Current to Round 21, today
Nathan Brown
Nathan Brown
Manly Sea Eagles · @ MEL
18.5 TKO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.5
L5
21.0
L10
20.4
High
27
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
18CBRMar 079NEWMar 1514PENMay 0314BRIMay 0921WSTMay 1620GLDMay 2319CROMay 2914SOUJun 0425CBYJun 2018MELJun 2717PARJul 0521NQLJul 1222GLDJul 1927CROJul 26?MELJul 3118.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Nathan97.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Nathan1.0
MEL33.0
Tackles
Nathan18.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Nathan0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Nathan0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Nathan0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Nathan0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Nathan28.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park42.0(1)+18.6
Everywhere else23.4(96)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)23.0(5)-0.6
Dry games23.6(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.