Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Sualauvi Faalogo

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

4.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

26% (5/19)

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Avg

4.1

3.2

L10

3.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Sualauvivs all playersStatWST concedePer game

201.8Run Metres1749.4

5.9Tackle Breaks33.3

4.4Tackles339.1

0.7Tries5.3

0.5Try Assists4.6

1.1Line Breaks6.6

1.1Offloads9.1

41.2Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Sualauvi201.8

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Sualauvi5.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Sualauvi4.4

WST339.1

Tries

Sualauvi0.7

WST5.3

Try Assists

Sualauvi0.5

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Sualauvi1.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Sualauvi1.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Sualauvi41.2

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium2.0(2)-1.1

Everywhere else3.1(42)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(4)+1.6

Dry games2.9(40)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.