Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Steely Green

Richmond · vs WCE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

29% (5/17)

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Avg

2.4

1.2

L10

2.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Steelyvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

11.1Disposals371.4

6.8Kicks215.1

2.9Marks96.1

2.4Tackles61.7

0.6Clearances38.9

1.8Inside 50s52.9

3.8Contested Poss.133.7

0.8Goals14.7

Disposals

Steely11.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

Steely6.8

WCE215.1

Marks

Steely2.9

WCE96.1

Tackles

Steely2.4

WCE61.7

Clearances

Steely0.6

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Steely1.8

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Steely3.8

WCE133.7

Goals

Steely0.8

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Tackles

61.7per game · league avg 56.9

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.0(23)+0.1

Everywhere else1.9(18)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.2(5)-0.9

Dry games2.1(36)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.