Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Mykelti Lefau

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

63% (10/16)

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Avg

0.9

0.8

L10

1.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mykeltivs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

7.8Disposals371.4

4.4Kicks215.1

3.3Marks96.1

2.9Tackles61.7

0.5Clearances38.9

1.5Inside 50s52.9

4.6Contested Poss.133.7

1.0Goals14.7

Disposals

Mykelti7.8

WCE371.4

Kicks

Mykelti4.4

WCE215.1

Marks

Mykelti3.3

WCE96.1

Tackles

Mykelti2.9

WCE61.7

Clearances

Mykelti0.5

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Mykelti1.5

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Mykelti4.6

WCE133.7

Goals

Mykelti1.0

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Frees For

20.6per game · league avg 19.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.7(17)-0.1

Everywhere else0.8(10)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.8

Dry games0.8(25)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.