AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch
Richmond · @ WBD
9.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.0
L5
7.6
L10
9.0
High
14
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12CARMar 123GCSMar 2110MELApr 2413WCEMay 0214ADEMay 105STKMay 1710ESSMay 228CARJul 046MELJul 129HAWJul 19?WBDJul 259.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.0
WBD388.2
Kicks
Tom6.2
WBD229.6
Marks
Tom3.2
WBD106.7
Tackles
Tom1.5
WBD61.2
Clearances
Tom0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Tom1.0
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Tom5.1
WBD132.4
Goals
Tom1.2
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Disposals

388.2per game · league avg 369.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands8.5(4)-1.0
Everywhere else9.5(26)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(3)-5.6
Dry games10.0(27)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.