AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch
Richmond · @ WBD
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
0.6
L10
1.1
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3CARMar 120GCSMar 211MELApr 240WCEMay 024ADEMay 100STKMay 172ESSMay 221CARJul 040MELJul 120HAWJul 19?WBDJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.0
WBD388.2
Kicks
Tom6.2
WBD229.6
Marks
Tom3.2
WBD106.7
Tackles
Tom1.5
WBD61.2
Clearances
Tom0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Tom1.0
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Tom5.1
WBD132.4
Goals
Tom1.2
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Frees For

19.0per game · league avg 19.0
#9 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.8(4)-0.4
Everywhere else1.2(26)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-1.3
Dry games1.3(27)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.