AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch
Richmond · @ WBD
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
0.4
L10
0.7
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CARMar 120GCSMar 211MELApr 242WCEMay 022ADEMay 101STKMay 170ESSMay 220CARJul 040MELJul 121HAWJul 19?WBDJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.0
WBD388.2
Kicks
Tom6.2
WBD229.6
Marks
Tom3.2
WBD106.7
Tackles
Tom1.5
WBD61.2
Clearances
Tom0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Tom1.0
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Tom5.1
WBD132.4
Goals
Tom1.2
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Goal Assists

8.8per game · league avg 9.3
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.8(4)+0.1
Everywhere else0.7(26)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-0.4
Dry games0.7(27)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.