AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch
Richmond · @ WBD
3.5 MKO U
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.2
L5
3.0
L10
3.2
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6CARMar 120GCSMar 214MELApr 244WCEMay 023ADEMay 103STKMay 176ESSMay 224CARJul 041MELJul 121HAWJul 19?WBDJul 253.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.0
WBD388.2
Kicks
Tom6.2
WBD229.6
Marks
Tom3.2
WBD106.7
Tackles
Tom1.5
WBD61.2
Clearances
Tom0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Tom1.0
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Tom5.1
WBD132.4
Goals
Tom1.2
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.0(4)+0.3
Everywhere else3.7(26)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.7(3)-2.3
Dry games3.9(27)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.