PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
ADERound 22Sat 08-08 · 19:35RIC
Jayden ShortJayden ShortMK7.5Ben MillerBen MillerMK6.5Nathan BroadNathan BroadMK5.5Luke TrainorLuke TrainorMK5.5Patrick RetschkoPatrick RetschkoMK5.5Noah BaltaNoah BaltaMK4.5James TreziseJames TreziseMK4.5TBTom BrownMK4.5Zane PeuckerZane PeuckerMK4.5Nick VlastuinNick VlastuinMK4.5Rhyan MansellRhyan MansellMK4.5Tyler SonsieTyler SonsieMK4.5
Rory LairdRory LairdMK6.5Wayne MileraWayne MileraMK5.5JWJosh WorrellMK5.5Riley ThilthorpeRiley ThilthorpeMK5.5Jordan Dawson

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Jayden ShortJayden Short7.5Ben MillerBen Miller6.5Nathan BroadNathan Broad5.5Luke TrainorLuke Trainor5.5Patrick RetschkoPatrick Retschko5.5Noah BaltaNoah Balta4.5
Jordan Dawson
MK
5.5
Max MichalanneyMax MichalanneyMK5.5
Taylor WalkerTaylor WalkerMK4.5
Brayden CookBrayden CookMK4.5
Darcy FogartyDarcy FogartyMK4.5
Mark KeaneMark KeaneMK4.5
Jordon ButtsJordon ButtsMK4.5
DCDaniel CurtinMK4.5
James Trezise
James Trezise
4.5
TBTom Brown4.5
Zane PeuckerZane Peucker4.5
Nick VlastuinNick Vlastuin4.5
Rhyan MansellRhyan Mansell4.5
Tyler SonsieTyler Sonsie4.5
Rory LairdRory Laird6.5
Wayne MileraWayne Milera5.5
JWJosh Worrell5.5
Riley ThilthorpeRiley Thilthorpe5.5
Jordan DawsonJordan Dawson5.5
Max MichalanneyMax Michalanney5.5
Taylor WalkerTaylor Walker4.5
Brayden CookBrayden Cook4.5
Darcy FogartyDarcy Fogarty4.5
Mark KeaneMark Keane4.5
Jordon ButtsJordon Butts4.5
DCDaniel Curtin4.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch
Richmond · @ ADE
3.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.3
L5
3.2
L10
3.0
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o3.5
6CARMar 120GCSMar 214MELApr 244WCEMay 023ADEMay 103STKMay 17☂6ESSMay 224CARJul 041MELJul 12☂1HAWJul 194WBDJul 25?ADEAug 083.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 22 · 2026-08-08 19:35☁ 13.8°C☂ 0.9mm (84%)🌬 27.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatADE concedePer game
8.9
10
Disposalsunfavorable
24
358.2
Tom 8.9/game
ADE concedes 358.2/game · league avg 369.6
#14 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.0
21
Kicksunfavorable
35
210.3
Tom 6.0/game
ADE concedes 210.3/game · league avg 213.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.3
37
Marksunfavorable
6
80.6
Tom 3.3/game
ADE concedes 80.6/game · league avg 93.5
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.5
21
Tacklesneutral
82
61.1
Tom 1.5/game
ADE concedes 61.1/game · league avg 56.5
#4 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
33
Clearancesneutral
100
39.3
Tom 0.5/game
ADE concedes 39.3/game · league avg 35.7
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
13
Inside 50sunfavorable
29
52.3
Tom 1.0/game
ADE concedes 52.3/game · league avg 52.9
#13 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.1
56
Contested Poss.neutral
100
139.4
Tom 5.1/game
ADE concedes 139.4/game · league avg 128.8
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.3
87
Goalsunfavorable
6
11.3
Tom 1.3/game
ADE concedes 11.3/game · league avg 12.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Tom8.9
10
ADE358.2
24
Tom 8.9/game
ADE concedes 358.2/game · league avg 369.6
#14 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Tom6.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Marks

80.6per game · league avg 93.5
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Adelaide Oval5.4(8)+0.9
Everywhere else4.5(108)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(12)-1.6
Dry games4.7(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs ADE · Marks

Avg diff
-1.1
Avg diff %
-29%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-23COLPatrick Lipinski4.52-56%
07-23COLBeau McCreery2.64+54%
07-23COLNick Daicos4.64-12%
07-23COLHarvey Harrison3.42-42%
07-23COLDarcy Cameron3.63-17%
07-23COLNed Long2.91-65%
07-23COLAngus Anderson2.71-63%
07-23COLDaniel McStay4.23-28%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.
21
ADE210.3
35
Tom 6.0/game
ADE concedes 210.3/game · league avg 213.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksunfavorable
Tom3.3
37
ADE80.6
6
Tom 3.3/game
ADE concedes 80.6/game · league avg 93.5
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Tom1.5
21
ADE61.1
82
Tom 1.5/game
ADE concedes 61.1/game · league avg 56.5
#4 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Tom0.5
33
ADE39.3
100
Tom 0.5/game
ADE concedes 39.3/game · league avg 35.7
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Tom1.0
13
ADE52.3
29
Tom 1.0/game
ADE concedes 52.3/game · league avg 52.9
#13 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.neutral
Tom5.1
56
ADE139.4
100
Tom 5.1/game
ADE concedes 139.4/game · league avg 128.8
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsunfavorable
Tom1.3
87
ADE11.3
6
Tom 1.3/game
ADE concedes 11.3/game · league avg 12.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded