Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Tom Lynch

Richmond · vs WCE

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (5/10)

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Avg

1.5

1.2

L10

1.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tomvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

9.0Disposals371.4

6.2Kicks215.1

3.2Marks96.1

1.5Tackles61.7

0.5Clearances38.9

1.0Inside 50s52.9

5.1Contested Poss.133.7

1.2Goals14.7

Disposals

Tom9.0

WCE371.4

Kicks

Tom6.2

WCE215.1

Marks

Tom3.2

WCE96.1

Tackles

Tom1.5

WCE61.7

Clearances

Tom0.5

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Tom1.0

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Tom5.1

WCE133.7

Goals

Tom1.2

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Tackles

61.7per game · league avg 56.9

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.4(67)+0.1

Everywhere else1.3(48)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(12)+0.2

Dry games1.3(103)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.