Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Tim Taranto

Richmond · vs WCE

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

0.7

1.0

L10

0.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 22.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Timvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

24.1Disposals371.4

10.8Kicks215.1

3.1Marks96.1

4.8Tackles61.7

5.8Clearances38.9

4.0Inside 50s52.9

12.1Contested Poss.133.7

0.7Goals14.7

Disposals

Tim24.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

Tim10.8

WCE215.1

Marks

Tim3.1

WCE96.1

Tackles

Tim4.8

WCE61.7

Clearances

Tim5.8

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Tim4.0

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Tim12.1

WCE133.7

Goals

Tim0.7

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Goals

14.7per game · league avg 12.7

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.7(44)+0.1

Everywhere else0.6(31)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(7)+0.4

Dry games0.6(68)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.