Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Alex Johnston

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

138.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

138.5

118.2

L10

133.4

High

222

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

138.5Run Metres1842.7

2.3Tackle Breaks31.7

4.1Tackles323.2

1.4Tries4.3

0.4Try Assists3.2

1.7Line Breaks4.7

0.5Offloads10.1

26.7Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Alex138.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Alex4.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Alex1.4

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Alex0.4

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Alex1.7

BRI4.7

Offloads

Alex0.5

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Alex26.7

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Run Metres

1842.7per game · league avg 1690.5

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Suncorp Stadium118.3(16)+0.6

Everywhere else117.7(98)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)121.0(14)+3.7

Dry games117.3(100)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.