Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Alex Johnston

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

2.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.3

2.4

L10

2.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

138.5Run Metres1842.7

2.3Tackle Breaks31.7

4.1Tackles323.2

1.4Tries4.3

0.4Try Assists3.2

1.7Line Breaks4.7

0.5Offloads10.1

26.7Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Alex138.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Alex4.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Alex1.4

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Alex0.4

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Alex1.7

BRI4.7

Offloads

Alex0.5

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Alex26.7

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium2.1(16)-0.6

Everywhere else2.7(98)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(14)+0.1

Dry games2.6(100)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.