Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Alex Johnston

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ SGI

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.1

3.6

L10

3.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

138.5Run Metres1917.7

2.3Tackle Breaks30.6

4.1Tackles343.1

1.4Tries5.2

0.4Try Assists3.8

1.7Line Breaks6.0

0.5Offloads8.5

26.7Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Alex138.5

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Alex2.3

SGI30.6

Tackles

Alex4.1

SGI343.1

Tries

Alex1.4

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Alex0.4

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Alex1.7

SGI6.0

Offloads

Alex0.5

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Alex26.7

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium6.0(1)+2.2

Everywhere else3.8(113)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.1(14)+0.4

Dry games3.8(100)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.