P
Current to Round 21, today
CBY
Samuel Hughes
Canterbury Bulldogs · @ MEL
8.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.1
L5
10.6
L10
8.1
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4SGIFeb 283CBRMar 19☂5SOUApr 039PENApr 0912PARApr 1915BRIApr 246NQLMay 0111DOLMay 07?MELJul 318.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Samuel71.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Samuel0.8
MEL33.0
Tackles
Samuel18.0
MEL338.8
Tries
Samuel0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Samuel0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Samuel0.1
MEL6.3
Offloads
Samuel0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Samuel30.0
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park8.0(2)-0.3
Everywhere else8.3(46)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.7(7)-0.7
Dry games8.4(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.