Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Liam Henry

St Kilda · vs SYD

0.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

13% (1/8)

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Avg

0.3

0.4

L10

0.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

10.3Disposals365.6

6.0Kicks210.9

2.9Marks80.8

2.0Tackles54.6

0.3Clearances38.8

1.8Inside 50s55.2

2.6Contested Poss.139.3

0.9Goals11.6

Disposals

Liam10.3

SYD365.6

Kicks

Liam6.0

SYD210.9

Marks

Liam2.9

SYD80.8

Tackles

Liam2.0

SYD54.6

Clearances

Liam0.3

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Liam1.8

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Liam2.6

SYD139.3

Goals

Liam0.9

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Clearances

38.8per game · league avg 35.7

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands1.1(13)+0.2

Everywhere else0.9(13)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)

Dry games1.0(23)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.