Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Darcy Fort

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

4.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

53% (9/17)

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Avg

4.5

4.0

L10

4.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Darcyvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

11.5Disposals363.6

7.0Kicks210.2

3.3Marks89.8

1.7Tackles59.8

3.1Clearances35.7

2.1Inside 50s52.9

7.1Contested Poss.127.7

0.4Goals12.8

Disposals

Darcy11.5

CAR363.6

Kicks

Darcy7.0

CAR210.2

Marks

Darcy3.3

CAR89.8

Tackles

Darcy1.7

CAR59.8

Clearances

Darcy3.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Darcy2.1

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Darcy7.1

CAR127.7

Goals

Darcy0.4

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Handballs

153.4per game · league avg 155.5

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands3.8(6)+0.1

Everywhere else3.7(60)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.5(2)+1.8

Dry games3.7(64)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.