Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Marcus Windhager

St Kilda · vs SYD

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

4.4

4.8

L10

3.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Marcusvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

23.0Disposals365.6

13.5Kicks210.9

4.4Marks80.8

3.0Tackles54.6

2.8Clearances38.8

3.4Inside 50s55.2

6.8Contested Poss.139.3

0.2Goals11.6

Disposals

Marcus23.0

SYD365.6

Kicks

Marcus13.5

SYD210.9

Marks

Marcus4.4

SYD80.8

Tackles

Marcus3.0

SYD54.6

Clearances

Marcus2.8

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Marcus3.4

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Marcus6.8

SYD139.3

Goals

Marcus0.2

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Marks

80.8per game · league avg 93.0

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands3.8(48)+0.2

Everywhere else3.6(44)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(3)-1.4

Dry games3.7(89)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.