AFL
PProjectPunt
Marcus Windhager
Marcus Windhager
St Kilda · @ NOR
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.0
L5
4.4
L10
3.9
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 080MELMar 151GWSMar 213BRIMar 282PORApr 124ADEApr 181WCEApr 263CARMay 024GCSMay 096RICMay 175FREMay 222HAWMay 280SYDJun 0710GWSJun 143WBDJun 213ESSJul 052PORJul 114GEEJul 16?NORJul 263.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Marcus23.0
NOR340.7
Kicks
Marcus13.5
NOR197.6
Marks
Marcus4.4
NOR90.7
Tackles
Marcus3.0
NOR54.6
Clearances
Marcus2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Marcus3.4
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Marcus6.8
NOR119.2
Goals
Marcus0.2
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.9(29)+0.4
Everywhere else3.5(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)+0.8
Dry games3.7(54)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.