Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Joel Amartey

Sydney · @ STK

5.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

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Avg

5.3

4.8

L10

5.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joelvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

8.2Disposals379.3

5.3Kicks220.4

3.2Marks100.9

1.7Tackles50.0

0.3Clearances34.4

1.1Inside 50s52.1

4.0Contested Poss.123.7

1.9Goals12.4

Disposals

Joel8.2

STK379.3

Kicks

Joel5.3

STK220.4

Marks

Joel3.2

STK100.9

Tackles

Joel1.7

STK50.0

Clearances

Joel0.3

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Joel1.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Joel4.0

STK123.7

Goals

Joel1.9

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Kicks

220.4per game · league avg 213.8

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands6.1(9)+0.7

Everywhere else5.4(67)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)-1.5

Dry games5.5(75)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.