Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Brodie Grundy

Sydney · @ STK

12.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

12.8

13.2

L10

13.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Brodievs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

19.8Disposals379.3

6.9Kicks220.4

2.1Marks100.9

4.0Tackles50.0

6.2Clearances34.4

2.2Inside 50s52.1

13.2Contested Poss.123.7

0.5Goals12.4

Disposals

Brodie19.8

STK379.3

Kicks

Brodie6.9

STK220.4

Marks

Brodie2.1

STK100.9

Tackles

Brodie4.0

STK50.0

Clearances

Brodie6.2

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Brodie2.2

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Brodie13.2

STK123.7

Goals

Brodie0.5

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Handballs

158.9per game · league avg 155.5

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands10.8(8)-1.3

Everywhere else12.1(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)18.0(2)+6.3

Dry games11.7(63)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.