Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Isaac Heeney

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

3.2

3.4

L10

2.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Isaacvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

27.4Disposals379.3

13.3Kicks220.4

3.2Marks100.9

5.1Tackles50.0

6.1Clearances34.4

4.1Inside 50s52.1

13.1Contested Poss.123.7

1.6Goals12.4

Disposals

Isaac27.4

STK379.3

Kicks

Isaac13.3

STK220.4

Marks

Isaac3.2

STK100.9

Tackles

Isaac5.1

STK50.0

Clearances

Isaac6.1

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Isaac4.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Isaac13.1

STK123.7

Goals

Isaac1.6

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands5.0(21)+0.4

Everywhere else4.6(139)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.6(8)

Dry games4.7(152)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.