Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

James Jordon

Sydney · @ STK

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

4.1

5.2

L10

3.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

14.9Disposals379.3

6.3Kicks220.4

1.8Marks100.9

4.1Tackles50.0

2.1Clearances34.4

2.7Inside 50s52.1

5.3Contested Poss.123.7

0.3Goals12.4

Disposals

James14.9

STK379.3

Kicks

James6.3

STK220.4

Marks

James1.8

STK100.9

Tackles

James4.1

STK50.0

Clearances

James2.1

STK34.4

Inside 50s

James2.7

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

James5.3

STK123.7

Goals

James0.3

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Tackles

50.0per game · league avg 56.9

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.6(8)

Everywhere else3.6(59)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)-1.2

Dry games3.7(65)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.